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  1. bill_collins

    Football betting thread

    Key stats for new bettors: Home advantage overvalued Goals market most efficient Cards value in derbies Late season form crucial
  2. bill_collins

    Football betting thread

    League breakdown from last season: Premier League: 2.5% avg margin Serie B: 4-6% margins Lower leagues: Up to 10% More value as you go down, but higher risk
  3. bill_collins

    CS betting in 2025: pinnacle vs bet365 vs unibet - which fits your style?

    For those asking about cashouts: Pinnacle: 2-12 hours (crypto even faster) bet365: Usually 1-3 days, can be longer on weekends Unibet: 12-24 hours standard, VIP faster Keep in mind payment method matters. Card withdrawals always slower than crypto across all three
  4. bill_collins

    Stake new Pump game first impressinos? Worth a try?

    For transparency: 1000 test runs on medium 67% pop under 2x 22% between 2-5x 11% above 5x Same as crash just feels different
  5. bill_collins

    UK betting IQ test - prove your conutry isn't betting donkeys 🎯

    just post full betting history or stop flexing single wins
  6. bill_collins

    Tennis pre-match vs live odds difference is insane lately

    Recent market changes: 6 major books limited tennis live 4 increased margins 300% 2 stopped certain tournaments All show pre-point odds movement
  7. bill_collins

    Tennis pre-match vs live odds difference is insane lately

    Key issues identified: Streaming delays 20-45 seconds Court-side data variations Different feed providers Shot clock impact on pace Books compensating with aggressive live odds
  8. bill_collins

    Bitstarz tesla giveaway - what's the deal? Worth trying?

    Last three promo winners averaged 2000+ tickets each. Think about what that means in wagering
  9. bill_collins

    Bitstarz tesla giveaway - what's the deal? Worth trying?

    Previous promo had over 800,000 tickets in pool. Do the math
  10. bill_collins

    UK betting IQ test - prove your conutry isn't betting donkeys 🎯

    Regional success metrics 2024: Advanced modeling: +6.2% "Gut feelings": -38.9% Following tipsters: -52.3%
  11. bill_collins

    Analytics vs Intuition - 2024 betting stats show most "expert" bettors lose when betting their favorite sport

    I guess it's more like risk management > sport knowledge. Period
  12. bill_collins

    s1mple era OVER? receipts inside 🧾

    Career statistics still show overall positive trends
  13. bill_collins

    NFT casinos? What's this?

    Quick explanation: Regular crypto casino games NFTs used for rewards/VIP status Some use NFTs for profit sharing Basically marketing gimmick for crypto casinos
  14. bill_collins

    Best NBA betting sites, tips, and tipsters. Spill your secrets.

    From 5 years NBA betting experience: Most reliable overall: Pinnacle Best for streaming: bet365 Good allrounder: Unibet Mixed experience: Bovada
  15. bill_collins

    Tennis pre-match vs live odds difference is insane lately

    Some context from past season: US Open 2024: Average live odds shift +125% ATP Finals: +180% movement standard Current AO qualifiers: +200% regular Key factor: No correlation with actual play changes
  16. bill_collins

    Boxing vs MMA odds - why such difference in limits?

    Current limit structures analysis: Boxing major fights: 30-50k standard Boxing undercards: 10-20k typical UFC mains: 3-7k average UFC prelims: 1-2k max Pattern consistent across all major books
  17. bill_collins

    Why Asian handicap suddenly popular in EU books?!?

    Key differences explained: Traditional handicap: Whole goals only (+1, +2 etc) Asian handicap: Quarter goals (+0.25, +0.75 etc) Less risk of full stake loss, better for both sides
  18. bill_collins

    Adidas x Merc deal - bigger than you think

    Odds movement too aggressive for simple sponsorship deal. Market pricing in something bigger
  19. bill_collins

    CS betting in 2025: pinnacle vs bet365 vs unibet - which fits your style?

    Experience with all 3 this month really shows their differences: b365: Pros: Easy deposits, streaming integration, quick markets Cons: Limiting winners fast, support takes ages to respond Markets decent but odds falling behind lately Unibet: Pros: Solid mobile app, balanced odds Cons: Many...
  20. bill_collins

    UK betting IQ test - prove your conutry isn't betting donkeys 🎯

    Statistical analysis shows regional betting patterns: UK: Heavy on accumulators (-47% ROI) Nordic: Value betting (+8.2% ROI) Asian: Line movement (+6.8% ROI) Data doesn't lie
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