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  1. bill_collins

    UK betting IQ test - prove your conutry isn't betting donkeys 🎯

    Regional success metrics 2024: Advanced modeling: +6.2% "Gut feelings": -38.9% Following tipsters: -52.3%
  2. bill_collins

    Analytics vs Intuition - 2024 betting stats show most "expert" bettors lose when betting their favorite sport

    I guess it's more like risk management > sport knowledge. Period
  3. bill_collins

    s1mple era OVER? receipts inside 🧾

    Career statistics still show overall positive trends
  4. bill_collins

    NFT casinos? What's this?

    Quick explanation: Regular crypto casino games NFTs used for rewards/VIP status Some use NFTs for profit sharing Basically marketing gimmick for crypto casinos
  5. bill_collins

    Best NBA betting sites, tips, and tipsters. Spill your secrets.

    From 5 years NBA betting experience: Most reliable overall: Pinnacle Best for streaming: bet365 Good allrounder: Unibet Mixed experience: Bovada
  6. bill_collins

    Tennis pre-match vs live odds difference is insane lately

    Some context from past season: US Open 2024: Average live odds shift +125% ATP Finals: +180% movement standard Current AO qualifiers: +200% regular Key factor: No correlation with actual play changes
  7. bill_collins

    Boxing vs MMA odds - why such difference in limits?

    Current limit structures analysis: Boxing major fights: 30-50k standard Boxing undercards: 10-20k typical UFC mains: 3-7k average UFC prelims: 1-2k max Pattern consistent across all major books
  8. bill_collins

    Why Asian handicap suddenly popular in EU books?!?

    Key differences explained: Traditional handicap: Whole goals only (+1, +2 etc) Asian handicap: Quarter goals (+0.25, +0.75 etc) Less risk of full stake loss, better for both sides
  9. bill_collins

    Adidas x Merc deal - bigger than you think

    Odds movement too aggressive for simple sponsorship deal. Market pricing in something bigger
  10. bill_collins

    CS betting in 2025: pinnacle vs bet365 vs unibet - which fits your style?

    Experience with all 3 this month really shows their differences: b365: Pros: Easy deposits, streaming integration, quick markets Cons: Limiting winners fast, support takes ages to respond Markets decent but odds falling behind lately Unibet: Pros: Solid mobile app, balanced odds Cons: Many...
  11. bill_collins

    UK betting IQ test - prove your conutry isn't betting donkeys 🎯

    Statistical analysis shows regional betting patterns: UK: Heavy on accumulators (-47% ROI) Nordic: Value betting (+8.2% ROI) Asian: Line movement (+6.8% ROI) Data doesn't lie
  12. bill_collins

    Analytics vs Intuition - 2024 betting stats show most "expert" bettors lose when betting their favorite sport

    Quarterly data shows correlation between sport expertise and overconfidence in betting
  13. bill_collins

    Stake new Pump game first impressinos? Worth a try?

    Some actual numbers from first hour: Most balloon pops happening between 1.5-2.5x on medium Expert mode seeing 80% pops before 1.3x Easy mode averaging 2.9x but payouts reduced House edge still the same no matter how you pump
  14. bill_collins

    Football betting thread

    Look about arbitrage betting: Risk-free profit from odds differences between books Example: Team A Book 1: 2.05 Book 2: 2.10 Bet both sides = guaranteed profit BUT: Books hate it, will limit fast
  15. bill_collins

    winter evenings & mixed games - a high stakes story ♠️♥️♦️♣️

    Has anyone noticed how mixed game players seem to last longer in the industry?
  16. bill_collins

    DraftKings vs Fanatics drama FINALLY over!!! VIP exec case settled!!!

    The real concern should be the precedent this sets for employee mobility in the industry
  17. bill_collins

    Connected casino operations - important findings 2024

    recently had vip status revoked on one site, suddenly lost it on three others same day. no explanation given
  18. bill_collins

    these kyc rules in 2024 got me stressed 💀

    Would be helpful if someone could list exactly which documents are typically required now. Seems to vary widely between sites. Tried comparing but getting overwhelmed.
  19. bill_collins

    got a casino dispute? let's talk (ex-compliance officer here)

    Once lost a $12k win because I didn't screenshot the bonus terms. They changed them after I won.
  20. bill_collins

    Comparison of live dealer blackjack across providers

    @p@yd@y All three are UKGC licensed but Evolution has most UK-specific tables.
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